Optimizer

Glossary

Physicker proj — Our week projection (shown as total / pts/wk). Starts from restated Sleeper stats (“consensus” / base), then adds context (soft/tough DEF, Vegas script, home, indoor, weather, rest). K/DST also get stream juice; DST uses Vegas O/U + opp QB quality / backup (opening-day starter frozen from Week 1). Rookie QB is flagged but not auto-boosted.

Consensus — Base restated projection before context juice. pts/wk may show e.g. 12.1 (4 above consensus).

soft / tough DEF — Formerly “DVP” (Defense vs Position): how many fantasy pts that defense allows to this position vs league average. Soft = easier; tough = harder.

Matchup Context — Week proj vs that player’s own YTD PPG, in position standard deviations (z-score). Same scale for every position:

• Boom — more than +2 SD above their avg
• Good — between +1 and +2 SD
• Neutral — within ±1 SD
• Bad — between −1 and −2 SD
• Bust — worse than −2 SD

Good/Boom tint pts/wk green; Bad/Bust tint red.

Deep dive — Matchup Context, stream factors (K/DST), consensus, context bits, usage, scheme.

FPM — All-in-one metric balancing the context measures with the projection and his own history. 0–100, drawn as a segmented ring. The ring on a player is next week. Black is 0–25, red is 26–49, yellow is 50–75, green is 76 and up. A stud can land in the red for one week. Start/sit fills the lineup by that week ring.

Move FPM — Pickups, drops, and trades blend the week ring with season value. A one-week stream is 65% this week and 35% season. Three weeks is 50/50, five weeks is 40/60, and rest of season or a drop is 20/80. A player whose season score is green is not the recommended drop unless the add is a higher season-green. A trade ring of 50 is even. Higher means the side you receive has more decision FPM.

Trade suggest / grade — Near-even packages on Physicker value. The ring is the FPM deal score for the receiving side.